What does Barca need to win La Liga?

Choking race

The comeback against Valladolid in the round of 34 La Liga brought Barca into a particularly favorable position in the La Liga championship race. With only 4 rounds left, the La Liga 2024/25 season ended, no room for any mistakes.

Both Barca and Real Madrid understood that, when both teams won in the weekend series and was preparing for the derby that could decide the championship race.

Barca is the first team, and they have created one of the reversal screens that can bring the value of a championship. The Catalunya team won all 3 points after receiving the early goal against a determined Valladolid, even though they were officially relegated.

Less than 24 hours later, Real Madrid welcomed Celta Vigo with pressure not to make mistakes. However, the Royal team seemed not to be affected and took 3-0 early. But Celta has created many opportunities and almost come backwards (the final score 3-2).

When the season enters the sprint stage, each score becomes invaluable, and only one foot can decide the championship. With the recent victories, Barca and Real Madrid closed round 34 with 79 and 75 points respectively. The distance between the current two teams is 4 points, but will change after the next round with the “El Clásico” match.

El Clasico’s focus

The El Clasico match between Barca and Real Madrid, in the round of 35 La Liga, will take place on Sunday, 11/5, at 16h15 (Spain time). A victory will help Barca put one hand in the championship trophy, while a failure will make the race more tense than ever.

If Barca won the El Clasico match, they would widen the gap with Real Madrid to 7 points, while Los Blancos could only win 9 maximum points in the remaining 3 matches. At that time, the Catalunya team could be crowned right after the 36th round if he defeated Espanyol in the derby.

Conversely, if Real Madrid wins, the distance will only be 1 point left. At that time, Barca still has the opportunity to win, but will have to wait until the last round to celebrate.

Detailed analysis of Barca’s championship scenarios:

Transcript after round 34

Barca: 79 points
Real Madrid: 75 points
There are 4 rounds left (up to 12 points)
El Clasico in round 35 (May 11) will be a key match.

Scenario 1: Barca won El Clásico

Barca will have 82 points, Real Madrid is still 75 points → gap: 7 points
The remaining 3 rounds = 9 maximum points → Barca only need 1 more victory to win, if Real does not win.

The most ideal situation:

Barca wins Espanyol in round 36 → with 85 points.
If Real Madrid drew or lost any match → Barca won 2 rounds soon.

Scenario 2: Barca drew in El Clásico

Barca có 80 điểm, Real có 76 điểm → Cách biệt: 4 điểm
Còn lại 3 vòng → khoảng cách vẫn nguy hiểm, nhưng Barca vẫn tự quyết.

Championship conditions: Barca won 2/3 of the remaining matches (reaching 86 points) → Real, though winning all 3 matches, only a maximum of 85 points → Barca won.